Whitehead: Christian nationalism shrinks but hardens in 2026
New survey data shows a slight dip in strong believers, yet the ideology remains a central driver of voter motivation for the midterm elections.
By Grace Sullivan ·
A growing divide over the role of religion in government is shaping the 2026 midterm election. While the number of Americans who strongly support Christian nationalism has dipped, the belief system remains a powerful force in political discourse. This tension is driving voters to the polls as they evaluate how democracy functions under current leadership.
Andrew Whitehead, a sociology professor at Indiana University Indianapolis, presented new data from the Kettering Foundation and Gallup. The annual survey polled more than 23,000 adults. Whitehead reported that approximately 14% of the U.S. population strongly embraces Christian nationalism. Just over 16% of respondents said they are at least sympathetic to the view.
Christian nationalism is defined as the belief that Christianity defines the nation. It holds that the government should take active steps to maintain that status. Whitehead noted that fewer Americans now strongly embrace these views compared to the past. However, he said the rhetoric has become more embedded in national political discussions. This is largely due to figures in federal government and media who use the language of the movement.
Support for the ideology varies by demographic group. Among white Americans, 31% are at least sympathetic to Christian nationalism. The sentiment is more common among men, with one third expressing sympathy. Women show a slightly lower level of support at 28%. Political party affiliation is a strong predictor of these views. Fifty-five percent of Republicans strongly embrace or sympathize with Christian nationalism.
Whitehead explained that support for Christian nationalism correlates with distinct views on democratic performance. Those who strongly embrace the ideology say democracy is currently doing great. In contrast, very few Americans who reject Christian nationalism believe democracy is working well or even okay. Those who reject the ideology are more worried about threats to the democratic system.
Whitehead stated that nearly 70% of respondents who resist or reject Christian nationalism are highly motivated for this election cycle. They want Congress to check the power of the executive branch. Whitehead noted that this check has been absent during the first two years of the current administration. This motivation is driving turnout among voters who oppose the fusion of religion and state power.
The election cycle also features a small but notable shift on the ballot. It is common for Republicans to combine religion and politics. However, five Democrats are running in Congressional races this year. These candidates are either clergy or in training to become clergy. Their presence marks a distinct change in the religious makeup of Democratic candidates for Congress.
