Vikings host Bills in Monday night NFL showdown
The undefeated record is gone, but the home team remains strong as the two teams meet in the final game of Week 9.
By Grace Sullivan ·
The Minnesota Vikings will host the Buffalo Bills on Monday night to conclude the Week 9 schedule for the National Football League.
The Vikings lost their perfect season record last week with a 19-15 defeat to the Detroit Lions. Despite that loss, the team is 3-0 in home games this season. They have the best scoring defense in the league, allowing an average of 13.3 points per game. The Bills enter the matchup with the top scoring offense in the NFL. However, the Buffalo team has only covered a 3-point spread in one of their three road games this season.
A projection model that simulates every NFL game 10,000 times favors the Vikings in this contest. The model, which is 60-51 on top-rated picks since 2024, sees the Vikings covering the 3.5-point spread in 53% of simulations. The model projects that Josh Allen will face a tough defensive challenge from Minnesota. Vikings wide receiver Jauan Jennings is inactive for the game due to a calf injury.
SportsLine experts have also selected specific player props for the game. Doug, a prop bet expert, noted that Bills slot receiver Khalil Shakir has been targeted on 15 of his 51 routes when Josh Allen is blitzed. Shakir caught 11 of those passes, leading the Bills with a 0.29 target-per-route run. The Vikings blitz at a rate of 69%, which is nearly double the rate of any other team. Alex Selesnick, known as PropStarz, highlighted the matchup between Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson and Buffalo backup quarterback Carson Wentz. Selesnick stated that the pair has shown good chemistry and that the matchup is excellent in what should be a competitive game.
The recommended same-game parlay combines the Vikings covering the spread, Shakir having over 4.5 receptions, and Jefferson gaining over 75.5 receiving yards. This combination carries odds of +400, meaning a risk of $100 would yield a profit of $400.
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