Chiefs favored by 1.5 points in Sunday's AFC West clash at Mile High
Denver seeks to keep its home winning streak alive against a Kansas City team coming off a loss in Seattle.
By Jenna Mitchell ·
Kansas City enters Sunday's NFL Week 8 matchup as a 1.5-point favorite over Denver. The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High. The total points line is set at 40.5.
Both teams arrive with strong records. The Chiefs are 5-1, while the Broncos are 5-2. Denver has won three consecutive games. Kansas City suffered its only loss last week in a 20-3 defeat at Seattle.
History favors the home side in recent head-to-head contests. The Broncos have won the last three meetings on their own turf. However, Kansas City dominated the first meeting of this season, beating Denver 31-10 in Week 1.
Offensive trends suggest a defensive battle. The Chiefs have limited three of their six opponents to 10 points or less. Running back Kenneth Walker III leads the Chiefs' attack with 701 rushing yards. Denver ranks in the bottom 10 in both rushing and passing offense but has held its last three opponents between 14 and 17 points.
SportsLine's advanced model simulated the game 10,000 times to generate its prediction. The model favors the Under 40.5 points. This bet has hit in five of seven recent Broncos games and four of six recent Chiefs games. The model reports that the Under has value 55% of the time in this specific matchup.
The model is currently on a 58-51 record for top-rated picks dating back to 2024. It projects 40 combined points for Sunday's contest. The simulation indicates that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time, though the specific team choice is withheld for subscribers.
Denver's run-first approach contrasts with Kansas City's high-powered offense. Both teams appear focused on limiting possessions. The previous meeting at this venue resulted in a 31-10 victory for the Chiefs, but the current form favors Denver in the division race.
